German recession fears grow as factory orders tumble – business live | Business

The flags of Germany.

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

Concerns over the health of the German economy are mounting this morning, after Europe’s largest economy suffered another big fall in manufacturing orders.

Germany factory orders plunged by 1.6% in December, new figures released this morning show, due to weak demand from overseas.

That’s much worse than the 0.3% rise which economists had expected, and follows a 0.2% decline in November.

German factory orders

German factory orders Photograph: Destatis

On an annual basis, orders were a chunky 7% lower than in December 2017. That looks to be the biggest drop since 2012.

Christophe Barraud🛢
(@C_Barraud)

🇩🇪 #Germany Dec #Manufacturing Orders:
*M/M: -1.6% v 0.3%e (largest ⬇ since June 2018)
*Y/Y: -7.0% v -6.7%e (largest ⬇ since June 2012) pic.twitter.com/PRZVSnoPXS


February 6, 2019

Such a weak result showing that Germany’s industrial base is struggling in the face of trade tensions, slowing global growth, and Brexit anxiety.

Germany’s car industry has also had a bad few months. They’ve struggled to get models tested and onto the road following the introduction of new, tougher, pollution rules.

We already know that German GDP shrank by 0.2% in July to September; some economists fear its economy may have kept shrinking, putting the country into recession.

Holger Zschaepitz
(@Schuldensuehner)

The Recession word is getting louder. #Germany‘s Industrial Order dropped 1.6% in Dec m/m vs a gain of +0.3% expected. Capital goods orders fall 2.5% m/m. pic.twitter.com/J4cA5gmyNQ


February 6, 2019

More reaction to follow….

Also coming up today

European stock markets are tipped to open flat, after a strong rally on Tuesday that saw the FTSE 100 jump by 2% to a new three-month high.

Britain’s Competitions and Markets Authority is enforcing a clampdown on some of the biggest online hotel booking sites – calling it “a victory for UK holidaymakers”. More on that shortly.

Struggling outsourcing group Interserve has announced a whopping debt-for-equity swap rescue deal.

Jim Pickard
(@PickardJE)

Interserve has announced an epic debt-for-equity swap which saves the company but massively dilutes existing shareholders:

“the shares issued through the Placing and Open Offer will account for 97.5% of the ordinary share capital of Interserve”https://t.co/kxdbJbPzSX


February 6, 2019

Plus we should get new US trade figures, and the weekly oil inventory stats, which should give another insight into the state of America’s economy

The agenda

  • 1.30pm GMT: US trade figure for November
  • 3.30pm GMT: US weekly oil inventory figures

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